The Arena for Accountable Predictions or Long Bets site is:
…an arena for competitive, accountable predictions (Long Bets).
…a forum for focused discussion and debate about prediction.
…an attractive tool for philanthropic giving.
…a way to foster better long-term thinking.
People making long term predictions and prepared to put their money where their mouth is. Some bets are a bit ridiculous though.
Update 2023: Some bets have already finished and from my observations most were wrong. e.g.
- Tesla will make a <$30,000 car by 2015, By 02022,
- Aether Physics (or its equivalent) will take the place of General Relativity and Quantum Theory,
- Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan will be found guilty at a court of law or will flee from the country by 2020.
It would be good if the site owners made site navigation better and had a section for bets which have finished.